Historian Allan Lichtman called out Nate Silver's 2024 forecast, despite both predicting Kamala Harris would defeat Donald ...

With the 2024 presidential election results now out, many forecasters have been proved wrong. But which were right?

Before there was a FiveThirtyEight model, or a New York Times election night needle, or 13 keys revealing “how presidential ...

Until then, we've asked 17 election experts and analysts to weigh in on the predictions that they are willing to put their names behind before the results are in. Here's what they said. My prediction: ...

Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is ...

As the 2024 race enters its most pivotal stage, each market has its own formula for determining who will win the White House.

The prediction should become more accurate the closer we are to the election. Circles are drawn to mark each prediction made since The Forecast started. The timeline below shows a detailed history ...

Off-target predictions about ... relevant to all soothsaying about elections. “Most of us pundits suspect we’re no better at predicting election results than the average intelligent person ...

She was shortlisted for the Guardian… After the recent lifting of the U.S. ban on election betting, billions of dollars have reportedly flowed into prediction markets, with these platforms now ...

How does the prediction update? The prediction updates every day as more polls come out. The prediction should become more accurate the closer we are to the election.